Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.795438 2.053392 2.336831 2.671630 3.056630 3.485896 4.001388
2025-08-24 1.420586 1.756646 2.156673 2.668936 3.309018 4.084394 5.097988
2025-08-31 1.150212 1.518659 1.987792 2.631099 3.493849 4.615900 6.194101
2025-09-07 1.011785 1.414761 1.959086 2.751954 3.884113 5.452741 7.808735
2025-09-14 0.885242 1.301700 1.894222 2.804588 4.178923 6.193573 9.402783
2025-09-21 0.767333 1.179796 1.794342 2.784576 4.355890 6.779117 10.849867
2025-09-28 0.654400 1.047019 1.656625 2.681770 4.383167 7.130044 11.972573
2025-10-05 0.610537 1.014631 1.667254 2.810619 4.791932 8.135337 14.311550
2025-10-12 0.573533 0.987357 1.680653 2.942638 5.219770 9.225405 16.958622
2025-10-19 0.530336 0.943192 1.658694 3.008111 5.536290 10.159197 19.460167
2025-10-26 0.490069 0.898547 1.629307 3.054242 5.820262 11.066791 22.044085
2025-11-02 0.438471 0.826643 1.541560 2.978928 5.861588 11.517245 23.787291
2025-11-09 0.382266 0.740870 1.420676 2.829762 5.749238 11.674115 25.004575
2025-11-16 0.347421 0.692201 1.364973 2.802823 5.881143 12.345171 27.434262
2025-11-23 0.314097 0.642473 1.301128 2.750568 5.952598 12.900137 29.703151
2025-11-30 0.301317 0.633140 1.317761 2.870286 6.412671 14.362872 34.309936
2025-12-07 0.283352 0.610625 1.304017 2.921591 6.726797 15.544573 38.453592
2025-12-14 0.261044 0.575992 1.260045 2.898780 6.865968 16.340465 41.780280
2025-12-21 0.234618 0.529107 1.183596 2.790608 6.786138 16.600065 43.774882
2025-12-28 0.228212 0.526963 1.207666 2.924365 7.318286 18.446347 50.314729
2026-01-04 0.222216 0.525027 1.231889 3.061653 7.879585 20.452717 57.668803
2026-01-11 0.212167 0.512209 1.228747 3.129722 8.270989 22.074053 64.232408
2026-01-18 0.201703 0.497153 1.218373 3.177710 8.615790 23.622646 70.875669